With Michigan and Florida Obama would have the nomination in hand

An keen analysis of the Michigan and Florida delegates if/when they are placed in play will bring Obama the undisputed nomination. The "math" as everyone is pointing to now gets even better with Michigan and Florida. Let us start with current estimates, where one can project that Obama has 1572 or so delegates (pledged and committed) to Clinton's 1464 or so. The highly touted delegate rich states of Michigan (128) and Florida (185) total 313. Even if Clinton goes and wins both of them by the margin of Ohio, 54% with Obama's 44% this would only give Clinton a net gain of approximately 15 delegates (163-150).

Here is the remaining states let us presume the Obama strategist David Axelrod's scenario and figure the following:

• Wyoming-12 delegates Obama 8-to-4, nets +4 (1580)
  
• Mississippi-33 delegates Obama 20-to-13, nets +7 (1660)
• Pennsylvania-158 delegates Clinton 84-to-74, -3 (1674)
  
• Guam-4 delegates Obama 3 to 1, -1 (1677)
• Indiana-72 delegates (36 each) -1 (1713)
• North Carolina-115 delegates (Obama 65-to-50) +14 (1763)
• West Virginia-28 delegates (Clinton 15-to-12) +11 (1775)
• Kentucky-51 delegates (Clinton 27-to-24) +8 (1799)
• Oregon-52 delegates (Obama 30-to-22) +16 (1829)
  
• Montana-16 delegates (Obama 10-to-6) +20 (1839)
• South Dakota-15 delegates (Obama 9-to-6) +23 (1848)
• Puerto Rico-55 delegates (Obama 30-to-25) +28 (1877)
• Michigan-128 delegates (Clinton 67-to-61) +22 (1938)
• Florida-185 delegates (Clinton 96-to-89) +15 (2027)
  

Obama wins even without gathering any more superdelegates from this point on, but that is ridiculous since once North Carolina is won he will probably be approaching 1763 with those delegates and by Oregon (1829) up the nomination, where by Clinton would have (1705). Allowing Michigan and Florida to participate is a good thing all around and I think at the end of May the 150 delegates or so Obama would win will make the Clinton loss look inevitable.

Another way to look at this is adding to (1877) the projected math as it stands right now. With each superdelegate commitment this the magic number of (148) is reduced by one. If Obama does better in Wyoming or Mississippi that number gets reduced further. The same goes for Colorado and all other State Conventions and Congressional District Assemblies, where with each event the number goes from projected to hard and the magic number either grows or falls. So as Michigan gets closer to having a late May caucus and where the pressure finally forces Florida to hold another primary Obama's magic number declines even faster.

By-the-way, I think the only way the Democratic Party can heal itself before the National Convention is for them to get Michigan and Florida to hold a contest. This would settle the loser's mind that they had a full fight and came up short and allow Obama to move forward.