3/20/08

Kitchen Sink Strategy not working as desired---evidence another superdelegate for Obama

Today Obama confirmed that Carol Ronen (DNC-IL) is the most recent endorsement by a superdelegate where she is endorsing an Obama-Clinton ticket. The Clinton camp announced that Pat Maroney (DNC-WV) making the numbers 246-210, just 36 from a tie. This leads us into the following analysis from the NY Times.

After Obama's 10-string victory backed against the wall (again) the Clinton camp told the press privately that they were going throw the "kitchen sink" at Obama and attempt to take back the nomination. This was not meant so much as the voters and pledged delegates but an a final appeal at wrestling the nomination through the superdelegates. The New York Times reports this strategy albeit tactically effective in knocking down Obama from a pedestal is not working as desired with the superdelegates. In Adam Nagourney's article a Political Memo,Clinton Facing Narrower Path to Nomination, he writes:
Mrs. Clinton’s advisers had hoped that the uproar over inflammatory remarks made by Mr. Obama’s longtime pastor that has rocked his campaign for a week might lead voters and superdelegates to question whether they really know enough about Mr. Obama to back him. Although it is still early to judge his success, the speech Mr. Obama delivered on race in Philadelphia to address the controversy was well received and praised even by some Clinton supporters
As critically important it was evident that the Clinton campaign hopes that Obama after having been battered over the last five rough weeks hoping to raise questions about his past, including his pastor’s incendiary comments, that would legitimize Clinton’s warning to Democrats that they were rallying around someone who was untested and unvetted.
The superdelegates are not going to really decide until June,” Mr. Penn said. “He’s just going through a vetting and testing process that didn’t happen a year ago and is now happening. The whole vetting and testing process will make a big difference.”
..."It is in the interest of Mrs. Clinton’s campaign to portray the contest as being highly competitive. Her campaign is intent on combating Mr. Obama’s efforts to pick off superdelegates. And it is increasingly concerned that any sign that the window is closing could lead a Democrat like Al Gore or Speaker Nancy Pelosi to step in and urge Democrats to back Mr. Obama in the interest of unity.
In truth, in interviews, Mrs. Clinton’s advisers said that task was tough and growing tougher and that the critical questions were what would happen with Florida and Michigan and the possibility of developments involving Mr. Obama’s relationship with his spiritual adviser, the Rev. Jeremiah A. Wright Jr.
Finally, Mrs. Clinton’s aides hope that disclosures about Mr. Obama’s past like the one involving Mr. Wright could give superdelegates’ pause. Mr. Devine said he thought that at least in terms of Democratic primary voters Mr. Obama had turned the furor to his advantage with his speech on race.
"Obama, confronted by an issue that was boiling, seemed to wade into it with a speech that was in many ways profound,” Mr. Devine said. “As a result, now these people who were so interested and awakened by his candidacy are back with him again. Instead of this being a setback, it becomes an opportunity.”
But the audience now is as much the Democratic superdelegates, who are especially attuned to politics and questions of electability in the fall, as it is rank-and-file voters.

Mrs. Clinton’s advisers said they had spent recent days making the case to wavering superdelegates that Mr. Obama’s association with Mr. Wright would doom their party in the general election.

That argument could be Mrs. Clinton’s last hope for winning this contest.

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