The One Constant in this Election Year; "the experts are almost always wrong"....ex: WaPo "Small Town PA maybe not 'Bitter' over 'Bitter' "

I am 51 years old, an educated Political Scientist, a progressive/liberal activist off and on for almost 20 years, sometimes I was involved in party politics, other times I was an issue-oriented activist, so this year has been infinitely fascinating to me on every level. Conversing with a couple quite learned and objective political observers---namely a couple of professors whom I will keep personally confidential, we have all come to the conclusion that there is one constant in this election year: "The experts are almost always wrong!"

"That is what happens when the electorate's dynamic is fundamentally changing", wrote one in a recent email exchange. Obama also observed following the Ohio and Texas Primary Day; "we seem to always succeed when we do things counter-intuitively." So when the Washington Post published this story today that discussed how small town Pennsylvania was not 'bitter' over the 'bitter' comment, this went counter to all the experts foreseeing Obama losing ground in this demographic. It also anecdotally confirmed what the most recent polling has been showing where Obama has seemed to gain in Pennsylvania.

Yet while questioning elements of Obama's remarks, residents showed little personal offense. Some, including potential Clinton supporters, questioned her claim to be a grittier alternative to Obama, noting her personal wealth and her husband's signing of the NAFTA blamed for job losses.

Most of all, residents noted the irony that -- after years of neglect -- they are having their innermost feelings argued over by presidential candidates and pundits, all because of a two-sentence gaffe.

The other notable today is the traditional canvassing of newspaper endorsements in Pennsylvania by TPM where a majority are backing Obama:

Papers endorsing Obama:

The Philadelphia Inquirer

Citizen's Voice

The Scranton Times-Tribune

The Allentown Morning Call

The Patriot News

Bucks County Courier

Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Philadelphia Daily News

Papers endorsing Hillary:

The Daily Pennsylvanian

Then one last note, Obama picked up another superdelegate last night moving his number up to 230 while Clinton remained steady at 253. Steven Achepohl (DNC-NE) endorsed Obama making him the 81st to do so in the last 75 days.

Finally here is a thought, it is now being projected that the worst Obama will do in PA is lose 55%-45%, and also lose only by 9 delegates, however some projections are saying he may squeak out a narrow victory like in Missouri which would mean he might gain the 9 delegates. The situation is that in the delegate rich Philadelphia and SE PA where half of Pennsylvanians reside Obama is winning heavily. If turnout exceeds projections than his strength in the east will overtake any strongholds in the central 'T' portion of the rural mountain regions. The break will be in Pittsburgh where how strong will Obama do there.