4/7/08

Another day, another superdelegate and then there is Mark Penn

The Obama campaign gained another superdelegate endorsement, the 69th since February 5th to Clinton's loss of a net 2, with State Representative Margaret Campbell (DNC-MT). The NY Times states in their article:
In the last two weeks, however, Mr. Obama picked up support from Senators Bob Casey of Pennsylvania and Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, former Senator John Melcher of Montana and Gov. Dave Freudenthal of Wyoming.

Aides said time was actually in Mr. Obama’s favor. The longer he demonstrates he can withstand the heat of a national campaign, they say, the more willing party leaders seem to be to embrace him.

What we’re seeing now is a trickle of people making that final decision to publicly commit,” says Jeffrey Berman, Mr. Obama’s chief delegate tracker.
The current superdelegate count is Clinton to 245 to Obama's 221 (down to a differential of 24) although the more aggressive MSNBC has it where:
Obama now holds an overall lead of 1,641-1,507 and trails in superdelegates, 255-225. Since Super Tuesday, per our count, Obama has picked up 55 supers while Clinton has lost a net of five. Overall, Obama has almost a 130-delegate lead over Clinton, which comes out to a 52%-48% split.
None of these numbers include President Jimmy Carter's apparent unofficial endorsement, Sen's Cantwell (D-WA) and Corzine (D-NJ) apparent unofficial movement and the eight NC's delegation stating they are going to declare for Obama before their primary. This would put Obama within 14 to 20 depending on who is counting heads of Clinton's superdelegate lead.Looking at the polls in PA, NC & IN, Obama also appears to be gaining in PA, pulling away in NC and needing to work in IN.
  • IN's American Research Group April 3rd poll has Clinton 53% to Obama 44% with 2% undecided.
  • IN's Research 2000 April 2nd poll has Clinton 49% to Obama 46% with 2% undecided.
  • IN's Survey USA March 31st poll has Clinton 52% to Obama 43% with 1% undecided.
And just a few words on Mark Penn's firing, Clinton's now former Chief Political Strategist and Pollster. Interesting, I mean it appears that Clinton has surrounded herself with self-absorbed and 'what is in it for me' opportunist tacticians and now as this thing is coming down to the end, the apparent mismanagement. Saturday Andrew Sullivan was on Tim Russert and noted that a presidential campaign shows what kind of management and administration will there be and Clinton's is about over-confidence, underestimations, mis-management and lack of narrative consistency. Penn's apparent firing is another example of a Humpty Dumpty campaign.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Attention Obama supporters-

Effective now for all of you, Obama will be handing out beanie caps and hula hoops for his little followers. Join now!

Tom, the NT man.