4/15/08

Bitterly looking at this Clinton is clinging on hope that her defeat is not inevitable

Today is the 4th day of the "bitter" debate and the polls are showing no traction. In fact the polls are showing that Obama has a "force field" (today's vernacular) or 'Teflon" as in the 1980's lingo. What is it that Obama has that appears to make him immune to this viral political contest? Possibly it might be sincerity and the courage, conviction and courage to be honest with the public, even if the words or message is not pleasant. Anway here is a review of the stories:
  • Bloomberg/LA Times Her formerly double-digit lead is now just a five-point margin in Pennsylvania, survey finds. The reduced margin makes a win for her there less significant. She trails Obama among Hoosiers.

    Pennsylvania
    Clinton 46%
    Obama 41%

    Indiana
    Clinton 35%
    Obama 40%

    North Carolina
    Clinton 34%
    Obama 47%

  • Today's Gallup Daily Tracking Poll gives Barack Obama an 11-point lead over Hillary Clinton, his widest margin ever in Gallup's polling, compared to the numbers of yesterday: Obama 51% Clinton 40%, the poll conducted entirely after the "small town" controversy is a further indication that the whole flap has yet to actually harm Obama's poll numbers.
  • There are really only three polls out early this morning, where the key measure here isn't the size of the lead, it's how they compare to the previous polls taken by the same pollsters the previous week. Of the three, one shows a tightening, another shows a widening by coincidentally the same margin, and the third shows no change at all. None of these changes are appear to be statistically significant.

    Survey USA:
    Clinton 54 (-2), Obama 40 (+2)
    Rasmussen:
    Clinton 50 (+2), Obama 41 (-2)
    Quinnipiac:
    Clinton 50 (+0), Obama 44 (+0)

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