5/28/08

Yes, three more superdelegates today,

The Obama campaign secured the endorsements of three more superdelegatesPat Waak (DNC-CO) followed by Oregon's Party Chair, Meredith Wood-Smith (DNC-OR). Guam's Senator also announced his endorsement, bringing their total to 319.5 (compared to 279.5 for Clinton). This grows Obama's hard count to 1980 (45 short of the 2025) and increases his lead over Clinton to over 200 delegates (201) and a lead of 40 superdelegates. Today's headline begins with our own Democratic Party Chair, Ben C. Pangelinan (DNC-GU), bring up the 3rd announcement.

In other news the Florida Democratic Party lawsuit regarding the Democratic Rules was dismissed.
A federal judge in Tampa has again tossed out a lawsuit filed by a Florida political consultant angry that his vote in the state's Democratic primary will not count. Victor DiMaio's lawsuit contended that the Democratic National Committee is discriminating against Florida voters. DiMaio argued that party leaders unfairly allowed Nevada and South Carolina to hold their presidential primaries prior to February 5, in part because of the sizable minority populations in both states, but punished Florida and Michigan for skirting the rules.

The math continues to squeeze any sense of the campaign having an orderly finish. Obama is now 45 delegates away from the eventual winning number and prediction models hold that he should be able to pick up between 38-42 next week. Originally Axelrod predicted 25 from PR and 9 & 8 from MT & SD, but PR could swing harder one way and MT and SD stronger for Obama. I have model working at 40. I am also predicting that Obama dribbles out 4 more superdelegates tomorrow and Friday, gains the Add-On out of ME and then secures 40 or 41 over primaries and declares he is at 2026, whereby he then gathers 50-75 superdelegates in a deluge finishing off the race once and for all.

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