Back to reality, what is the projected delegate count

It appears from the heavy duty delegate watchers I have come to know that Obama secured 64 pledged delegates (and probably will emerge with 66 when the final accounting is done) from North Carolina and 34 pledged delegates from Indiana for a total of an even 100! The Clinton campaign will probably emerge with 38 pledged delegates from Indiana and 46 secured (and probably 49) pledged delegates from North Carolina.

This equates a gain of 100 to 87 (net 13) plus a overlooked superdelegate endorsement from North Carolina, Jeanette Council (DNC-NC). Gaining 14 delegates at this juncture brings down the magic number where Obama is now coming in reach of securing the absolute majority of pledged delegates by Oregon. Even if WV and KY go big Clinton's way with little or no campaigning, Obama will gain 30 pledged delegates by Oregon and then some. Axelrod, whose prediction is uncanny but somewhat unraveling, (he though NC would be closer and Obama would win IN, but his delegate math was almost dead on). Through the next three contests Obama should gather a minimum of 50 of the next 128 delegates in play. But that is not where the contest main battleground will be played out. Watch for a parade of superdelegates to come out over the next five or six days, Obama managing that each will get their day in the news sunlight but I suspect that by next Tuesday's WV contest Obama will be firmly in the lead.