5/8/08

"I told it was not over until it is over". The delegate watch

Okay, the rumored close or suspension of the Clinton campaign is like another Terminator Movie, let us call it Hillinator IX. After each destruction she re-morph's like a alien assassin robot and keeps charging. But the number never lie, since Tuesday night Obama picked up 7 superdelegates to net zero for Clinton. He is now at 260 superdelegates (to Clinton's 269.5) and now under the ten behind. I can remember when he was almost 75, and now Obama is within 10.

Here is the count; Rep. Heath Shuler (D-NC) and former NFL QB kept his western North Carolina pledge where Clinton carried his district last Tuesday and that is it. Now the switch, (this is an area you should watch), Jennifer McClellan (DNC-VA), went from Clinton to Obama, so Hillary is a net zero. Obama gathered Jerry Meek (DNC-NC), Inola Henry (DNC-CA), Dan Gerber (Add-On-FL), Rep. Brad Miller (D-NC), and Rep. Rick Larsen (D-WA). Actually one can say that Obama is but one short in that there is the Pelosi Pledge 7 (pledged to vote for the winner of the pledged delegate winner), and Montana's Margaret Campbell who had to retract her endorsement due to party rules.. This means one can bank on 268 superdelegates.

This will continue, look for superdelegates to keep coming in each day when until the headline is run that Obama overtakes Clinton on superdelegates. The next order of battle is the Michigan and Florida delegations. I knew once Obama clinched or got close that genuine offers to seat and appease these problem states would emerge. Essentially the deal in Michigan is to have the delegation sit with Clinton getting 69 delegates and Obama 59. This is a net loss to the Clinton camp of 4 but it brings them and the controversy to the end. In Florida the idea is to seat the delegates with 1/2 votes.

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