First level of clinching is in Obama wins Oregon, gains 45 delegates overall

Yes Obama lost another Appalachian State---badly, but then had another big night night outside the old hill's region by winning Oregon, 59%-41%. This essentially put Obama over the top on pledged delegates majority with 1646 (Obama has 10 Edward's delegates pledged to him now bringing that total to 1656). Clinton is of course now rejecting the delegate math for it does not serve her aims and is now making her case on the illegitimate popular vote---except that we don't elect Presidents that way. Furthermore the problem with Hillary's campaign math even in the popular vote is that it is wrong for Obama still leads in the popular vote as well.

• Obama 16,995, 836
• Clinton 16, 387, 761 (This includes all states and caucuses minus FL or MI, 557, 075 to Obama)

• Obama w/FL's vote: 17, 572, 050
• Clinton w/FL vote: 17, 258, 747 (Difference 313, 303 to Obama)

• Obama w/FL & MI: 17, 810, 218 (using uncommitted votes)
• Clinton w/FL & MI: 17, 587, 076 (Difference of 223, 142* to Obama)

Now if one does not count the uncommitted votes as Obama votes than Clinton does carry a 15,076 advantage by counting all her votes in the unsanctioned MI & FL beauty contests, BUT, those contests don't count and furthermore popular votes are meaningless for the party nominates its presidential candidates through delegates.

Okay let us talk delegates, Obama now has the following:

• 1656.5 pledged delegates
• 305.5 superdelegates (two committed today, MS DemParty Chairman Wayne Dowdy (DNC-MS) and Rep. Joe Courtney (D-CT.)
  
• 1962 (Hard count total and 63 short of the 2025 and clinching nomination without MI & FL.)

• 1968 (Pelosi Pledged Club on record endorsing the winner of the pledged delegates)
• 2008 (Predicted future pledged delegates from three remaining contests; MT, SD, PR)
  
• 2032 (Predicted Add-On superdelegates selected in states advantaged to Obama)

IF MI is included: 2063(A) 2095(B) or 2104 (C) needed

• 2069 Plan A (1/2 vote for pledged delegates 50/50 split, 5 superdelegates full vote).
• 2101 Plan B (full vote for pledged delegates 50/50 split, 5 superdelegates full vote).
  
• 2096 Plan C (full vote pledged awarded 59 (69 to HRC) 5 superdelegates*---7 short

IF FL is included: Only plan, 1/2 vote for pledged delegates and full vote for superdelegates

• 2071.5 (Plan A 1/2 vote recorded for primary results plus superdelegates)

IF FL & MI are included:

• 2110 (2101 for Plan A MI and FL to nominate)
• 2140 (2131.5 for Plan B MI and FL to nominate)
• 2137 (2142 for Plan C Mi and FL to nominate)* right now 5 short