6/3/08

[MORE BREAKING NEWS ]11.5 more superdelegate votes added this morning

The number has dropped to 34.5 before tonight's primary results are added in. Four Michigan superdelegates with half votes have endorsed Obama, Joyce LaLonde (DNC-MI), Carolyn Kirkpatrick (DNC-MI), Debbie Dingell (DNC-MI), and Richard Weirner (DNC-MI), plus Maria Chappell-Nadel (DNC-MO) and Jennifer DeCant (DNC-ME). This AM news brings Obama's superdelegate cache up to 341 and his hard count to 2083 and 34.5 short of the nomination threshold. Tonight expect Obama to pick up either 7 or 8 delegates from South Dakota, (the race will be close and the division will go either way), and 9 or 10 delegates from Montana, but with the three Montana superdelegates saying they will abide by the vote of their primary the cache haul should grow to an additional 12-13 from the Big Sky State. All told this would bring Obama up to the 19-20 from the final primary states, leaving him 14-15 short of the final threshold.

[MORE BREAKING NEWS 6 1/2MORE SUPERDELEGATES] The Obama campaign has gained the prestige of the endorsement of former President Jimmy Carter and six other superdelegates as the afternoon wore on. There is one lone commitment for Hillary Clinton amounting to 1/2 vote with a Floridian superdelegate. This brings the Obama campaign to 347 superdelegates and a hard count total to 2089.5 or 28.5 delegate votes needed to reach the nominating threshold. Those stepping forward are: President Jimmy Carter (DPL-GA), Carnelia Fondren (DNC-MS), John Perez (DNC-CA), Debra Kozkowski (DNC-MA), John Spratt (DNC-SC), Joyce Beatty (DNC-OH), and the 1/2 vote delegate from MI, Kwame Kirkpatrick (DNC_MI).

Mathematically this all but eliminates Clinton's hope in that she is at 1917 (201) needed and there are only 31 pledged delegates remaining, of which the best she is expected to gain is 16 (1933 or 185 short) and then there are 35 Add-on's reducing the superdelegate pool to 160. The most Clinton is expected to pick up in this pool is 15 bringing her up to 1948 or 160. The problem is that the is the Montana and Pelosi Clubs (now numbering is 8) bringing the potential pool of superdelegates to 152.

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