Polling Data going into "Firewall Tuesday"

Former President Bill Clinton emphatically saidthat unless Hillary Clinton wins both Ohio and Texas's primaries this coming Tuesday March 4th,---remember there are also two other state primaries on that date---Vermont and Rhode Island. Now of course as the polling data is beginning to go against Mrs. Clinton's candidancy they are trying to move the goal posts back some more and are saying they have to win just one primary and possibly Rhode Island's, naturally ignoring Vermont's. Well here is the polling data for your viewing.

1. US Election Polls has Obama up in Texas 57-43% (2/23)



2. US Election Polls also has Obama up in Ohion 54-46% (2/23)

How come they are so deviate from the national polls? Well here is their presentation:

Decision Analyst is the first pollster to proclaim Barack Obama as the leader in either of the two big states that vote on March 4: Texas, Ohio.

They say that they carefully selected the demographic compositions used in their polls. Most pollsters thus far have not been fully representing the support Barack Obama gets at the polls because the demographic composition of those going out to the polls tend to be under-represented in traditional polling based on previous turnout......

“As the second most populous state, Texas’ delegate count is large, and an Obama win of the magnitude indicated by our survey would most likely propel Obama to the Democratic nomination,” according to Jerry W. Thomas, President/CEO of Decision Analyst.

Now you ask well that is just obscure polling group but there is more! Pollster.com they are interesting in that composite the national polls regardless and look for trendlines.

Here is Texas's polling trend, notice Obama has passed Clinton this week as she is diving he is climbing in almost straight lines.

In Ohio Clinton is still holding a diminishing lead as Obama is rapidly climbing against her small increments.